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Category Archives: Weekly Outlook

Cooling US CPI Numbers Give Hope for Soft Landing 

Written on August 11, 2022 at 3:34 am, by

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July was released, showing a year-on-year growth of 8.5% – lower than the expected growth of 8.7% and the previous month’s increase of 9.1%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile categories like food and energy, comes in at an increase of 0.3% month-on-month, lower thanContinue Reading

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Is This Little-Known Hong Kong Tech Company the Next Meme Stock?

Written on August 8, 2022 at 2:50 am, by

AMTD Digital, a little-known fintech company based in Hong Kong and listed on the NYSE (HKD) surged over 1500% in five days during last week’s trading. Since its IPO earlier this year in July, the company’s stock has surged from US$7.80 to a high of over US$1670 for a market cap of over $300 billionContinue Reading

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Will JOLTs Data Foreshadow Friday’s NFP?

Written on August 4, 2022 at 6:37 am, by

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US JOLTs Job Openings data was released, showing 10.689 million job openings, lower than the expected 11 million and the previous month’s value of 11.303 million. This is also the lowest in 9 months.  Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, notes: “Fewer openings likely mean the frothContinue Reading

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Debate on Recession Continues

Written on August 1, 2022 at 1:38 am, by

With the most recent US GDP figures (-0.9%) showing a second back-to-back negative reading, many are saying that the US has entered a recession. This comes after another recession indicator, an inversion of the US Treasury yield curve, began flashing several times starting in April. Most recently, interest on the 2-year note has been higherContinue Reading

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Tech Stocks Slide on Trimmed Forecasts

Written on July 25, 2022 at 1:28 am, by

Stocks of Apple slid 2% to $147.07 on Monday as the world’s most valuable company announced that it would be slowing hiring and spending growth in 2023 as recession concerns hit the market. Alphabet stock is also down over 2%, a week after it announced that Google would slow hiring for the remainder of 2022.Continue Reading

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Will the ECB Hike Rates by 25 or 50 Points?

Written on July 21, 2022 at 6:38 am, by

At 15:15 (GMT+3) on Wednesday, the European Central Bank will be making its interest rate decision. The central bank is expected to hike rates, the first time it will do so in 11 years. For the past 8 years, interest rates in the EU have been negative – but rampaging inflation has made the EuropeanContinue Reading

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Musk Kills Twitter Deal

Written on July 18, 2022 at 1:13 am, by

Elon Musk has pulled out of a protracted and tumultuous bid to purchase social media platform Twitter, making the announcement through an SEC filing. The deal was first proposed by Musk after he revealed that he had accumulated over 9% of Twitter earlier this year. Should the deal have gone through, Musk would be payingContinue Reading

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US CPI Sees Yield Curve Inversion

Written on July 14, 2022 at 3:01 am, by

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for June were released, showing that consumer prices grew by 9.1% year-on-year, the fastest pace of inflation growth since November 1981. This is higher than the forecast of 8.8% and May’s figure of 8.6%. Meanwhile, Core CPI increased 0.7% month-on-month, higher than analyst estimatesContinue Reading

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US Dollar Index Consolidates Ahead of US NFP Report

Written on July 8, 2022 at 3:32 am, by

On Thursday evening (GMT+3), the US Initial Jobless Claims data was released, showing that 235,000 people filed for unemployment insurance for the first time in the week of July second. This is the highest since January this year, and up from the forecasted 230,000 and the previous month’s 231,000. Continuing claims, whose data is releasedContinue Reading

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Crude Drops Despite EIA Inventory Decrease

Written on June 30, 2022 at 3:14 am, by

On Wednesday (GMT+3), the US Energy Information Administration reported a decrease of 2.762 million barrels in its crude oil inventories for the week of 24 June. This is more than the forecasted decrease of 569,000 barrels and the previous week’s decrease of 386,000.  Meanwhile, gasoline stocks increased by 2.6 million barrels, while production averaged 9.5Continue Reading

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